I was in Honolulu a couple of weeks ago for the first time since 2022. I particularly wanted to ride on Skyline, Honolulu’s new (or at least newish) elevated railroad. The first segment of Skyline (between the western terminus and Aloha Stadium) began offering service in June of 2023. The second segment (to Kalihi Transit Center) opened much more recently, in October of 2025. There are now approximately 16 miles (25 km) of lines in service. The line is now 80% complete. (Skyline as currently envisaged will be approximately 20 miles (32 km) long.)1
Except for several airport people movers, Skyline is the first driverless urban rail line in the United States. But, on a world scale, it’s not a particularly innovative system. Kōbe opened a short driverless line in 1981. Lille launched what was arguably the world’s first substantial driverless metro system in 1983, and Vancouver inaugurated the first North American driverless urban rail transit line in 1985. Dozens of cities in Europe, Latin America, and (especially) Asia now have driverless metros. The United States came rather late to this technology.
Skyline is almost entirely elevated (there is a short surface section near the line’s railyards). It was decided long ago that the price tag of building a subway would be prohibitive. The cost of construction has still turned out to be enormous. The line, when the next segment is completed, will end up having cost more than twelve billion dollars, much more than was predicted in the original plans. Other U.S. urban rail lines built in recent years have also proven ruinously expensive, with costs per kilometer many times higher than new lines in most other countries.
Both segments completed thus far are essentially suburban. Here’s a map:

Map of part of the Honolulu area showing the location of Skyline. The nominal scale of the map is 1:75,000. That’s the scale it would have if printed on an 8-1/2-x-11-inch sheet of paper. GIS data are mostly derived from files downloaded from the Hawaii Statewide GIS Program and the Geofabrik version of OpenStreetMap. I’ve edited all the data. Click on the map to enlarge it.
Segment 1 lies entirely outside the U.S. Census definition of Urban Honolulu. Some of the outer parts of the line run by farmland or land that appears essentially vacant.

Train just northeast of the Keone’ae/University of Hawai’i West O’ahu station. Note the relatively empty surroundings.
Segment 2 includes a stop at Honolulu’s airport. Both segments also pass close to important educational facilities as well as some residential areas with medium density. Here’s a map showing the line’s route superimposed on a density map of part of central Honolulu:

Map of part of central Honolulu showing the relationship between Skyline and population density. Population density is shown by census tract; figures are from the 2020 census. See map above for additional information about data sources. Click on the map to enlarge it.
Note, however, that the line now open does not really serve any of Honolulu’s densest districts, the kinds of places where congestion is such a serious problem that a rapid urban rail line seems the only transportation solution. Honolulu does in fact have such places. The urban area has only a million people, but, by the Census Bureau’s “population-weighted density” method of measuring urban density, Honolulu was actually the fourth densest major urban area in the country in the 2010s (and it’s now the fifth densest by traditional measures). Road congestion is definitely an issue. The densest (and, not coincidentally, the most transit-oriented) parts of Honolulu—Waikiki, Kaka’ako, Downtown, some working-class districts not far from Downtown and Waikiki, and the area around the University of Hawai’i at Mānoa—are not yet served by Skyline, and some of these may never be.
Much of the currently operating line runs through light-industrial districts and carscapes close to the Pearl Harbor shoreline.
It does pass through some more or less middle- or working-class neighborhoods, but even here, the stations are often several blocks from traditional commercial districts and higher-density residential areas. The spatial relationship between the location of Skyline’s stations and the likely origins and destinations of potential customers is not ideal. The current eastern terminus, for example, is at the Kalihi Transit Center. Several bus routes terminate here, so this seems like a logical place for a station. But to get from the Transit Center to the medium-density, economically heterogeneous neighborhood of Kalihi on foot, you have to cross a freeway and walk through several blocks of non-residential land.

The Kalihi Transit Center, which adjoins the Kahauiki/Kalihi Transit Center Skyline station. Note the not very pedestrian-friendly surroundings.
Skyline really doesn’t yet serve any unambiguously well-off districts either, even though some of Honolulu’s inner-city gentrified neighborhoods are arguably the most transit-friendly places in the city. Here’s a map showing Skyline’s route superimposed on a per capita income map of central Honolulu:

Map of central Honolulu showing the relationship between Skyline’s route and per capita income by census tract (from the 2018/2022 ACS). See first map above for additional information on data sources. Click on the map to enlarge it.
There are several reasons why Skyline has been built where it has been. One reason is political. Building the line has always been controversial. A referendum in 2008 favored building it, but only 53 percent of voters said yes. The referendum was preceded by more than a decade of arguments about the need for a rail line in Honolulu, and, even though they lost the referendum, opponents have never quite given up, and, as costs have mounted, there has always been a danger that construction would be halted completely. It would be hard to prove this, but it appears that the outer part of the line was built first partly to assure that at a certain point it would be ridiculous not to add the parts of the line that would make it useful. Other factors surely played a role too. The outer part of the line was the easiest to build, and construction through mostly low-density areas was the least disruptive. The newly-built line has also served as a demonstration that an elevated railroad line doesn’t have to be an obnoxious neighbor. Reluctance to impose an elevated railroad on denser residential and commercial areas appears to have been a key factor in determining Skyline’s routes.2
The initial predominantly suburban segments have, inevitably, not attracted many users. With segment 1 in place, Skyline had approximately 3,000 passengers a day. Since segment 2 opened, there have been something like 10,000 daily riders. These are not the kinds of statistics that would seem to justify spending twelve billion dollars. Trains are running fairly empty.

Inside a Skyline train. Note the open gangways—and all the empty seats. Most of the trains I rode were even emptier.
It is projected that, when the line reaches Downtown, it will have many more riders, and no doubt it will. But will it really have 80,000 riders a day, as has been projected? I’m not so sure.3
Despite the modest passenger loads, the Honolulu Department of Transportation Services to its credit has been taking advantage of driverless technology and is running trains frequently. There is service every ten minutes between 4 a.m. and 8:30 p.m. and then every fifteen minutes between 8:30 p.m. and 10:30 p.m. That’s 110 trains a day in each direction (with an average of fewer than 50 passengers per trip). When I rode the line, service was consistently on time. The technology, of course, permits running trains even more frequently without incurring extra labor costs, and headways are supposed to be even shorter when the line reaches Downtown.
Skyline has inevitably been affected by cultural issues. Hawai’i is theoretically a bilingual state. English and Hawaiian are both official languages. In practice, though, there are very few native speakers of Hawaiian left, and the proportion is particularly small in Honolulu. But recorded announcements on the trains about door closings are given in English and Hawaiian; the stations have bilingual signs with information on local history; and all the stations’ main names are in Hawaiian only. The stations also have English-language names, but they come second in official announcements and are printed in a smaller font than the Hawaiian names on official signs. The Hawaiian names often have little to do with present toponyms or land uses. They are typically historical. The official name of the Airport station, for example, is Lelepaua. It refers to a fishpond that once lay nearby. The official tie-ins with the precolonial landscape strike me as being quite wonderful, but I’m guessing that the insistence on having official names that mean little to most residents will mostly serve as ammunition for those who are uncomfortable with a “woke” mindset.
Skyline is in most ways a modern rail transit system. The cars have open gangways. There are electronic signs with next-train information. There are recorded announcements inside the trains with next-station information. The platform edges have gates that open only when the train has fully stopped. The stations all have elevators, and some have escalators. And there is plenty of protection against sun and rain in and around the stations.

Lelepaua, the Airport station. Stations are pretty much all the same. In a mostly low-rise landscape, the stations all seem huge.
I walked under the tracks in several places and was impressed by the fact that the concrete columns really do dampen sound to a considerable extent. But the elevated structure does, of course, cast shadows.

Newish pedestrian and bicycling path along the train tracks between the Keone’ae and Kualaka’i stations. The overhead trains are fairly quiet.
The line is not particularly fast. Its top speed is 55 mph (89 km/h). That means that train riders can sometimes see cars on nearby highways that are moving faster than the train. Because the line has numerous curves, however, it’s likely that trains with a higher top speed would not have been able to go much faster.
The ride is surprisingly “wobbly.” There is a lot of vibration when the train is moving quickly. The problem may be related to faulty construction of many crossovers. This problem is supposed to be fixed eventually.
The line’s chief problem remains that service to the majority of Honolulu’s most important and most transit-oriented destinations will not be available for many years, if ever. Downtown won’t be reached until 2031, and the Downtown stations will be at the edge of Downtown. Many of those commuting to and from the main office clusters will have to walk several blocks to get to the stations. Note that the projected 2031 completion date assumes that construction goes more smoothly than it has so far. The new segment—which will end at the Civic Center—is approximately 3.3 miles (5.3 km) long. It’s not clear why it will take five years to build a little more than three miles of elevated track, but the construction of Skyline has generally required much more time than was anticipated.
Ala Moana, Honolulu’s most important retail district and Skyline’s projected terminus, is less than a mile beyond Civic Center, but no date has been proposed for adding the Ala Moana segment. Some have claimed it will never be built. I am sure there will be major battles when the residents of increasingly gentrified Kaka’ako (between Downtown and Ala Moana) are faced with the prospect of an elevated railroad running next to their expensive condos. There are theoretical plans to build extensions to Waikiki and the University of Hawai’i at Mānoa, two of the places that generate the largest number of transit passengers in Honolulu, but no precise plans have been drawn up for these extensions.
There is hope that the existence of Skyline will change Honolulu’s urban geography in ways that will make the line more useful. Zoning has been altered in certain places to encourage the construction of TODs. But Honolulu isn’t growing very fast at all, and there is no reason to believe that there will be a huge amount of housing built near stations even if zoning allows it.
In other words, building Skyline has been like building other new urban rail lines in North America. It’s been a slow and expensive process, and the result has not so far been an unambiguous success. But Honolulu’s highways really are badly congested, the line is certainly pleasant to use, and there are many people in Honolulu who are delighted that Skyline has finally opened.



















































































